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Head of Economic Scenario Production

  • HSBC Group
  • Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island +1 more, Hong Kong
  • HKD 1,200,000 – HKD 1,800,000

We are currently seeking a high calibre professional to join our team as a Head of Economic Scenario Production

In this role you will:

  • Lead end-to-end ESG (Economic Scenario Generator) production delivery across HK/GZ, meeting monthly and quarterly timelines and quality standards.
  • Own the calibration framework and governance for key assumptions/methodology to ensure risk-neutral, market-consistent scenario outputs fit for IFRS 17 / HK RBC valuation.
  • Direct calibration updates and provide clear, defensible commentary on market movements and impacts to scenario outputs and valuation.
  • Apply expert judgement to balance accuracy vs practicality (stability, runtime, explainability), documenting rationale, limitations, and controls.
  • Act as Model Owner for the ESG, ensuring the model remains up-to-date, fit-for-purpose and compliant with model risk requirements, with robust documentation, controls and audit trail to support audit and SLOD assurance, including ongoing model monitoring and periodic enhancements.
  • Maintain strong production process and control (sustainability, independent review, issue management, escalation, audit trail) and continuous improvement/automation.
  • Manage the ESG vendor relationship (incl. TPEM responsibilities), driving issue resolution, enhancements, and contract/service performance.
  • Lead, coach and develop the team (HK direct reports and GZ hub), building quantitative capability and operational resilience.

To be successful you will need:

  • Fellow of an Actuarial Institute/Faculty (FIA/FSA/FSI or equivalent) with strong post-qualification actuarial experience.

  • Proven quantitative modelling (“quants”) experience in ESG/stochastic modelling, derivatives/market risk models, Monte Carlo methods, and/or calibration optimisation.

  • Strong command of interest rate modelling, yield curve construction, volatility modelling, and dependence/correlation concepts (as relevant to the ESG).

  • Demonstrated expertise in assumption and methodology governance: setting, reviewing, documenting, and defending calibration choices.

  • Strong insight into economic/market movements and implications for asset valuation, risk premia and scenario dynamics. Solid understanding of insurance liability risk profiles (duration, guarantees/options, path dependency) and how these drive calibration and scenario design.

  • Demonstrated track record of adopting advanced technology (e.g., cloud/distributed compute, model optimisation and automation) to improve run-time performance, scalability and production resilience for high-volume scenario generation.

  • Track record of balancing model accuracy and theoretical soundness with production practicality, control requirements and stakeholder needs.

  • Experience engaging effectively with auditors/regulators/model risk stakeholders and managing third-party vendors/software providers.

Skills

  • Economic Scenario Generator (ESG)
  • Actuarial Modeling
  • IFRS 17
  • Hong Kong RBC
  • Model Risk Management
  • Stakeholder Management
  • Team Leadership

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